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See technology evolution to 2050 from personal communication evolution
Now we are in the end of 2020, and welcoming 2021. Would like from personal communication to talk about personal communication evolution from now till 2050, 30 years from now.
See technology evolution to 2050 from personal communication evolution
Now we are in the end of 2020, and welcoming 2021. Would like from personal communication to talk about personal communication evolution from now till 2050, 30 years from now.
Before that, let me roll back, 50 years, to 1950. It era for Model 500 telephone, a black standard domestic desk telephone set presented in most homes and workplace for every household. We make calls with numbers via the wheel dialer, of course, wired telephone networks across the city, country and the world.
But it is also the time, or more specifically 1946 for the first commercial car phone service invented by Motorola. Allow to make phone calls from the car at that time, of course again, not everyone, but those social elite who are affordable for the technology breakthrough at that time.
Now moved to 1973 April, mobile phone handsets, at that time, claim to be the first usable truly portable mobile telephone, despite the size of brick you carry with you. It took 30 years at that time, to have the mobile phone replace all the past technology and become the mainstream technology. First commercial mobile phone available in the market was in 1984. Then the next 10 years till 1995, the era for mobile phone companies grew to be bigger telecommunication companies in the world. 1995 is an anchor year, that is also a year where first internet e-commerce is transacted and symbolizes the dawn of the internet.
1993, Bellsouth and IBM creation of the world’s very first smartphone. But not change the world at that time. In 2002, Noka built the first phone with a built-in camera, but at that time the phone display was at 176×208 pixel color display, so you can imagine, it did not change the world at that time as well. Blackberry integrated phone before Apple 2007 January launch iPhone in the world also worth mentioning. But the Apple iPhone combining a mobile phone, an iPod (popular music player) and a wireless communication device and feature App Store allow download for new software to extend the smartphone functionality become world success. One of the great inventions at that time is using the finger to touch display, eliminate the need for all the number pad, and allow for making a one big display. Then the next 10 years, basically until now is still the smartphone generation, more and more me-too and low cost products roll out in the market. You will notice as well, despite being just tiny the size of the computer, it sells more than the average computer laptop. It actually became a more compact mini size computer in the pocket for most of the people to do most of the daily communication. Whether from reading email, surfing the internet, viewing facebook, chat in whatsapp, shopping in the mobile app, all get done in the small portable smartphone.
10 years from now, i.e. 2030, we are living in autonomous cars anywhere, anyplace. AI digital assistants and robotics help humans do most of the things. At that time we were in the 6 or 7G mobile networks, all kinds of IoT sensors everywhere. Maybe at that time, no one is carrying a smartphone, we wear smart glass. This is why now you look back and it makes sense why all the smartphone companies started to invest in autonomous cars and smart glass or other wearable technology. We are human, suddenly able to understand global language via the smart translation, as well as speak global language instantly.
Another 10 year, i.e. 2040, embedded technology will be the foundation for running the world, everything becoming automated. 2050, we can predict the time digital immortality becomes possible (or at least for the social elite), people can live in a virtual world. AI and robotics take care of everything for everyone, that is the bright side. The dark side is we human kind no longer need smartphones any more, become embedded as chips or some kind in our body. PC and mobile will merge eventually. As PCs become more and more portable, tablet features digital pencil, and that operating system is now in the era of becoming one, you can see what Apple right now is doing, migration from Intel chip to their very own M1 chip set to achieve cross platform ecosystem.
We hope via the way go back to the past, and then jump forward to the next future provide you insight into and understanding the motive for all the big global companies is doing and why they are invest heavy in the certain technology, because if they do not do so, they will not be survival in the future, just like all the history past lesson we saw along the years. In the end, we conclude this digital transformation via the descriptive way using the past and predict the future, to provide you another way to understand why digital transformation (DT) is always in the top management and leader’s top priority. – Vincent Lim, Subject matter expert and senior consultant for E-SPIN Group
E-SPIN in the business of consulting, supply, project management, training and maintenance support enterprise ICT solutions for corporation and government customers across the region E-SPIN Group do business, since 2005. Feel free to contact E-SPIN Group for the project initiative and requirements.